ORCID
- A. Raby: 0000-0002-8959-0080
Abstract
Low-income communities in disaster-prone regions face persistent challenges in translating post-disaster recovery investments into sustained resilience, as they navigate trade-offs among engineering objectives, policy constraints, and evolving socio-economic needs. Despite the widespread adoption of Build Back Better (BBB) principles, evidence on the long-term sustainability of outcomes remains limited, particularly in low- and lower-middle-income contexts. This study examines the sustainability of BBB outcomes in two Indonesian case studies: Banda Aceh (approximately 18 years after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami) and Central Sulawesi (approximately 4 years after the 2018 earthquake, liquefaction, and tsunami). Drawing on structured housing assessments, household surveys, semi-structured interviews, and stakeholder consultations, the study evaluates how risk-informed design, zoning controls, and recovery governance mechanisms persist or erode over time. Across both cases, five recurring divergence pathways are identified: spatial non-compliance and location persistence, incremental housing adaptation, functional erosion of risk-informed design features, reversion to non-engineered construction practices, and institutional memory decay. These pathways reflect interacting institutional, socio-economic, and technical barriers whose influence evolves across recovery phases. Central Sulawesi illustrates medium-term feasibility challenges linked to relocation delays and livelihood dependency, while Banda Aceh reveals longer-term institutional drift, coastal re-encroachment, and erosion of risk-informed practices. To address these dynamics, the study develops and applies a temporal multi-barrier lever framework that conceptualizes BBB as a path-dependent process shaped by evolving cross-domain interactions. The framework is operationalized through a logic matrix linking divergence pathways to coordinated, time-sequenced levers across recovery phases. The findings show that sustaining BBB requires continuous alignment among governance, livelihoods, adaptable design, and institutional capacity. The study contributes longitudinal evidence and a practical framework for governments and NGOs to sustain resilience gains beyond reconstruction.
DOI Link
Publication Date
2026-01-01
Publication Title
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction
Volume
141
ISSN
2212-4209
Acceptance Date
2026-05-06
Deposit Date
2026-08-11
Funding
This work was supported by the UK EPSRC Learning from Earthquakes project [grant number EP/P025951/1].
Additional Links
Keywords
Build Back Better, Disaster resilience, Multi-barrier framework, Post-disaster housing, Sustainable long-term recovery
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Recommended Citation
Opabola, E., Baiguera, M., Raby, A., Rossetto, T., Pomonis, A., Meilianda, E., Idris, Y., Nurdin, S., Adams, K., McGovern, D., Acikgoz, N., Mistry, H., & Marafini, F. (2026) 'Diagnosing long-term divergence in Build Back Better outcomes in low- and lower-middle-income communities', International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 141. Available at: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106190
