ORCID
- Borthwick, Alistair: 0000-0001-6053-7764
Abstract
Rapid deterministic modelling of shoreline evolution at regional and coastal-scheme scale enables Monte-Carlo simulations by which long-term shoreline statistics can be estimated. This paper describes UnaLinea, a fast, accurate finite difference solver of the one-line sediment continuity equation. The model is verified for the evolution of an initially straight shoreline of a plane beach subject to regular breaking waves at constant angle of incidence in the presence of either a groyne or a continuous single-point feed of sediment. Grid convergence and stability tests are used to obtain accurate, stable results, with satisfactory computational efficiency. Influences of wave input filtering and event-based sediment loading are considered. The rapid deterministic model is applied to Monte-Carlo simulations of the evolution of the west coast of Calabria, Italy for different scenarios including increased sediment load from a river and selected beach nourishment. The potential role of probabilistic shoreline evolution in regional coastal flood-risk assessment is explored through application to an idealised stretch of the Holderness coastline, U.K., where flood depths and expected damage are estimated for a 1000 year return period event.
DOI
10.1016/j.coastaleng.2016.12.002
Publication Date
2017-03-01
Publication Title
Coastal Engineering
ISSN
0378-3839
Embargo Period
2018-01-13
Organisational Unit
School of Engineering, Computing and Mathematics
Keywords
Shoreline evolution, Flood/erosion-risk, Probabilistic modelling, Wave filtering, Regional scale
Recommended Citation
Stripling, S., Panzeri, M., Blanco, B., Rossington, K., Sayers, P., & Borthwick, A. (2017) 'Regional-scale probabilistic shoreline evolution modelling for flood-risk assessment', Coastal Engineering, . Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2016.12.002
