Abstract

Cryospheric change has altered discharge patterns of the subglacial Skaftá cauldrons and Grímsvötn volcano beneath the Vatnajökull ice cap, SE Iceland (64.4220° N, 16.7902° W) at least since 1940. Jökulhlaup (glacial outburst floods) frequency has increased but their magnitude has decreased. This study examines jökulhlaup effects on the marine environment at the Gígjukvísl, Skaftá, and Kúðafljót estuaries. Remote sensing data integrated in situ, observational, and modelled data to analyse sea surface salinity (1/8° resolution), temperature (0.05° resolution), and observational chlorophyll-a data (1 km² resolution). Covering 11 jökulhlaups in Gígjukvísl/Skaftá and seven in Kúðafljót, a systematic response emerged in residual data. Salinity reduced by 0.428 ± 0.444 (Gígjukvísl/Skaftá) and 0.280 ± 0.423 (Kúðafljót) on jökulhlaup start-days, with smaller declines one to two weeks later linked to seawater dilution. Temperatures fell by around -0.5 °C pre-flood at both sites (± 0.710 °C at Gígjukvísl/Skaftá and ± 0.658 at Kúðafljót) and up to -0.6 ± 0.209 °C (Kúðafljót) post-flood from ice dam melting and meltwater discharge. This aligns with partially significant chlorophyll-a pre-flood reductions of ~1.2 ± 0.496 mg/m3 and three post-flood peaks with mean increases by up to 1.446 ± 7.968 mg/m3 (Gígjukvísl/Skaftá) and 3.269 ± 11.810 mg/m3 (Kúðafljót), suggesting short algal blooms through increased nutrients and sediments. These results advance the understanding of anomalous glacial freshwater discharges, potentially affecting regional to global ocean circulation and productivity.

Awarding Institution(s)

University of Plymouth

Supervisor

Tim Daley, Matt Westoby

Keywords

Vatnajökull, glacial outburst floods, jökulhlaups, marine response to jökulhlaups, Iceland, Grimsvötn, Skafta, Icelandic Basin, DMS, Dimethyl Sulphide

Document Type

Thesis

Publication Date

2025

Embargo Period

2025-07-21

Deposit Date

July 2025

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License

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