Authors

Jesús Aguirre-Gutiérrez, University of Oxford
Sophie Fauset, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences
Sandra Díaz, Instituto Multidisciplinario de Biología Vegetal
Sami W. Rifai, University of Adelaide
Jose Javier Corral-Rivas, Universidad Juarez del Estado de Durango
Maria Guadalupe Nava-Miranda, University of Santiago de Compostela
Roy González-M, Ministerio de Vivienda, Ciudad y Territorio
Ana Belén Hurtado-M, Ministerio de Vivienda, Ciudad y Territorio
Norma Salinas Revilla, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú
Emilio Vilanova, Wildlife Conservation Society
Everton Almeida, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará
Edmar Almeida de Oliveira, Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
Esteban Alvarez-Davila, Universidad Nacional Abierta y a Distancia
Luciana F. Alves, University of California at Los Angeles
Ana Cristina Segalin de Andrade, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia
Antonio Carlos Lola da Costa, Universidade Federal do Pará
Simone Aparecida Vieira, Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Luiz Aragão, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
Eric Arets, Wageningen University & Research
Gerardo A. Aymard C, Herbario Universitario (PORT)
Fabrício Baccaro, Universidade Federal do Amazonas
Yvonne Vanessa Bakker, Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Timothy R. Baker, University of Leeds
Olaf Bánki, Naturalis Biodiversity Center
Christopher Baraloto, Florida International University
Plínio Barbosa de Camargo, Universidade de São Paulo
Erika Berenguer, University of Oxford
Lilian Blanc, Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Developpement (CIRAD)
Damien Bonal, Université de Lorraine
Frans Bongers, Wageningen University & Research

ORCID

Abstract

Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.

Publication Date

2025-03-07

Publication Title

Science (New York, N.Y.)

Volume

387

Issue

6738

ISSN

0036-8075

First Page

5414

Last Page

5414

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