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dc.contributor.authorHansen, Jen
dc.contributor.authorKharecha, Pen
dc.contributor.authorSato, Men
dc.contributor.authorMasson-Delmotte, Ven
dc.contributor.authorAckerman, Fen
dc.contributor.authorBeerling, DJen
dc.contributor.authorHearty, PJen
dc.contributor.authorHoegh-Guldberg, Oen
dc.contributor.authorHsu, S-Len
dc.contributor.authorParmesan, Cen
dc.contributor.authorRockstrom, Jen
dc.contributor.authorRohling, EJen
dc.contributor.authorSachs, Jen
dc.contributor.authorSmith, Pen
dc.contributor.authorSteffen, Ken
dc.contributor.authorVan Susteren, Len
dc.contributor.authorvon Schuckmann, Ken
dc.contributor.authorZachos, JCen
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-22T15:16:51Z
dc.date.available2017-05-22T15:16:51Z
dc.date.issued2013en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10026.1/9300
dc.description.abstract

We assess climate impacts of global warming using ongoing observations and paleoclimate data. We use Earth's measured energy imbalance, paleoclimate data, and simple representations of the global carbon cycle and temperature to define emission reductions needed to stabilize climate and avoid potentially disastrous impacts on today's young people, future generations, and nature. A cumulative industrial-era limit of ∼500 GtC fossil fuel emissions and 100 GtC storage in the biosphere and soil would keep climate close to the Holocene range to which humanity and other species are adapted. Cumulative emissions of ∼1000 GtC, sometimes associated with 2°C global warming, would spur "slow" feedbacks and eventual warming of 3-4°C with disastrous consequences. Rapid emissions reduction is required to restore Earth's energy balance and avoid ocean heat uptake that would practically guarantee irreversible effects. Continuation of high fossil fuel emissions, given current knowledge of the consequences, would be an act of extraordinary witting intergenerational injustice. Responsible policymaking requires a rising price on carbon emissions that would preclude emissions from most remaining coal and unconventional fossil fuels and phase down emissions from conventional fossil fuels.

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dc.format.extente81648 - ?en
dc.languageengen
dc.language.isoengen
dc.subjectAnimalsen
dc.subjectCarbonen
dc.subjectClimate Changeen
dc.subjectEarth, Planeten
dc.subjectEcosystemen
dc.subjectHumansen
dc.subjectPolicyen
dc.subjectSocial Responsibilityen
dc.titleAssessing "dangerous climate change": required reduction of carbon emissions to protect young people, future generations and nature.en
dc.typeJournal Article
plymouth.author-urlhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24312568en
plymouth.issue12en
plymouth.volume8en
plymouth.publication-statusPublished onlineen
plymouth.journalPLoS Oneen
dc.identifier.doi10.1371/journal.pone.0081648en
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth/Faculty of Science and Engineering
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth/REF 2021 Researchers by UoA
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth/REF 2021 Researchers by UoA/UoA07 Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences
dc.publisher.placeUnited Statesen
dc.identifier.eissn1932-6203en
dc.rights.embargoperiodNo embargoen
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1371/journal.pone.0081648en
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserveden
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Reviewen


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