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dc.contributor.authorTian, W
dc.contributor.authorHeo, Y
dc.contributor.authorde Wilde, Pieter
dc.contributor.authorLi, Z
dc.contributor.authorYan, D
dc.contributor.authorPark, C-S
dc.contributor.authorFeng, X
dc.contributor.authorAugenbroe, G
dc.date.accessioned2018-05-22T09:49:07Z
dc.date.issued2018-10
dc.identifier.issn1364-0321
dc.identifier.issn1879-0690
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10026.1/11542
dc.description.abstract

Uncertainty analysis in building energy assessment has become an active research field because a number of factors influencing energy use in buildings are inherently uncertain. This paper provides a systematic review on the latest research progress of uncertainty analysis in building energy assessment from four perspectives: uncertainty data sources, forward and inverse methods, application of uncertainty analysis, and available software. First, this paper describes the data sources of uncertainty in building performance analysis to provide a firm foundation for specifying variations of uncertainty factors affecting building energy. The next two sections focus on the forward and inverse methods. Forward uncertainty analysis propagates input uncertainty through building energy models to obtain variations of energy use, whereas inverse uncertainty analysis infers unknown input factors through building energy models based on energy data and prior information. For forward analysis, three types of approaches (Monte Carlo, non-sampling, and non-probabilistic) are discussed to provide sufficient choices of uncertainty methods depending on the purpose and specific application of a building project. For inverse analysis, recent research has concentrated more on Bayesian computation because Bayesian inverse methods can make full use of prior information on unknown variables. Fourth, several applications of uncertainty analysis in building energy assessment are discussed, including building stock analysis, HVAC system sizing, variations of sensitivity indicators, and optimization under uncertainty. Moreover, the software for uncertainty analysis is described to provide flexible computational environments for implementing uncertainty methods described in this review. This paper concludes with the trends and recommendations for further research to provide more convenient and robust uncertainty analysis of building energy. Uncertainty analysis has been ready to become the mainstream approach in building energy assessment although a number of issues still need to be addressed.

dc.format.extent285-301
dc.languageen
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.subjectBuilding energy
dc.subjectUncertainty analysis
dc.subjectUncertainty propagation
dc.subjectInverse problems
dc.subjectBayesian computation
dc.titleA review of uncertainty analysis in building energy assessment
dc.typejournal-article
dc.typeReview
dc.typeJournal
plymouth.author-urlhttps://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000440966900022&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=11bb513d99f797142bcfeffcc58ea008
plymouth.volume93
plymouth.publication-statusPublished
plymouth.journalRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.rser.2018.05.029
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth/Faculty of Arts, Humanities and Business
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth/REF 2021 Researchers by UoA
plymouth.organisational-group/Plymouth/REF 2021 Researchers by UoA/UoA13 Architecture, Built Environment and Planning
dcterms.dateAccepted2018-05-13
dc.rights.embargodate2019-5-28
dc.identifier.eissn1879-0690
dc.rights.embargoperiod48 months
rioxxterms.versionofrecord10.1016/j.rser.2018.05.029
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://www.rioxx.net/licenses/under-embargo-all-rights-reserved
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate2018-10
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Review


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